Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Dust's warming counters half of its cooling effect

ScienceDaily (Oct. 31, 2012) ? Dust that routinely rises above the world's deserts causes a more significant localized warming effect than previously thought, a new study based on NASA field research shows.

In April 2008, atmospheric scientists set up camp in Zhangye, a semi-arid region between China's Taklimakan and Gobi deserts. They sorted and prepared cargo that included two mobile laboratories housed in trailers, and an array of upward-looking instruments for measuring airborne dust particles. Then, the team waited for favorable conditions -- for either of the two neighboring deserts to send clouds of dust blowing over camp before fieldwork wrapped up a few months later in June.

The wait paid off. By early May, a heavy dust episode darkened the skies over camp as scientists and instruments looked on.

The mineral properties of the aerosol particles and the wavelength distribution of incident light combine to determine whether a dust particle reflects radiation and cools the local atmosphere, absorbs radiation and warms the local atmosphere, or both. While scientists have a good handle on dust's primary effect of reflecting and cooling at the visible wavelengths, the smaller influence of absorbing and warming at the longer infrared wavelengths has remained more of an uncertainty -- and most climate models either underestimate it or do not include it at all.

When the field work concluded, Richard Hansell of the University of Maryland, College Park, and NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md., and colleagues combined data collected from the ground-based sensors with computer models to quantify the interaction of visible and infrared light energy.

The analysis showed that over half of dust's cooling effect is compensated for by its warming effect. The finding, published in the Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres, could clarify scientists' understanding of how dust influences moisture fluctuations in the atmosphere and surface temperatures around the planet.

The dust dilemma

Dust is just one, but important, type of tiny airborne particle collectively known as aerosols. And while dust has a notable impact on health and visibility, it is also known to have an effect on climate. The question remains: How much of an effect?

As the 2007 assessment report by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shows, the magnitude of aerosols' influence on climate is not well understood. That's where ground-based work like Hansell's can help. The team's interest was not in the global coverage of the dust -- events frequently observed by satellites -- but rather in the individual flecks of dust and their physical and chemical properties.

"Looking at dust from space, the spatial extent is awesome," Hansell said. "You can see large dust clouds that get stirred up over the desert and transported globally. But I'm looking from the ground-based perspective, collecting a very large volume of data to analyze dust and to look specifically at how it interacts with radiation, in my case with infrared -- the longer wavelengths."

How dust interacts with these longer wavelengths has long perplexed scientists -- it's not an easy thing to study. But with an array of instruments and growing volumes of data from NASA's Surface-based Mobile Atmospheric Research & Testbed Laboratories (SMARTLabs), scientists are making progress.

The long and short of it

Sunlight is composed primarily of energy at the shorter visible wavelengths known as shortwave. When shortwave radiation arrives to Earth's atmosphere and encounters dust particles, some of the energy is reflected back to space. Cooling results because Earth's surface doesn't receive as much radiation had the dust not been there; an effect that's relatively straightforward to observe.

The challenge stems from the much weaker signal of the longwave radiation -- the invisible, low-energy radiation emitted by the earth, atmosphere, clouds and anything else with a temperature. Dust can absorb this type of radiation and thus contribute to warming. But the process depends on the particles' size, composition, optical properties, and how those parameters affect the transfer of energy between the particles and the atmosphere.

Compared to small-sized aerosols such as smoke, larger particles including dust are more efficient at absorbing longwave radiation. In addition to size, dust particle composition also matters. Minerals such as silicates and clays are better than others at absorbing longwave radiation.

To determine the warming influence of dust, Hansell and colleagues started by characterizing dust size and composition as measured by instruments in the NASA mobile lab at Zhangye, in addition to data collected from previous field studies there. At the same time, the team in Zhangye used an interferometer to describe changes in the spectral intensity of the longwave radiation.

Combining the measured parameters in a computer model, the researchers calculated the longwave energy at Earth's surface with and without dust aerosols present to determine the Direct Aerosol Radiative Effect (DARE), a parameter that describes how aerosols modulate the energetics of the atmosphere.

The warming influence

The team found that dust's radiative impact, and hence its warming influence, conservatively ranges from 2.3 to 20 watts per square meter of radiation at the surface in Zhangye. Collectively, dust's longwave warming effect counters more than half of dust's shortwave cooling effect.

For perspective, the warming influence of 20 watts per square meter is comparable to the low end of longwave radiation's effect on clouds, which measures about 30 watts per square meter. Warming by greenhouse gases measures about 2 watts per square meter, although the warming occurs globally whereas the warming influence of dust and clouds is regional.

"The influence of dust on longwave radiation is a lot bigger than we expected," Hansell said.

The magnitude of that influence, however, can vary from one location to another. "Compared to our previous study of Saharan dust measured at Sal Island Cape Verde, the longwave effects of dust at Zhangye were found to be about a factor of two larger, owing to differences in the dust absorptive properties and proximity to the desert sources, he said.

Still, with dust holding on to more heat than previously thought, scientists can begin to reassess dust's role in changes observed near Earth's surface, such as air temperature and the moisture budget. For example, dust's warming effect on the atmosphere could be an underestimated factor driving evaporation, and atmospheric convection and stability.

"We're now at point where I see trying to link what we're measuring into work being done by the modeling community, to improve climate predictions and to better understand the dynamical consequences of these radiative effects," Hansell said.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center. The original article was written by Kathryn Hansen, NASA's Earth Science News Team.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. Richard A. Hansell, Si-Chee Tsay, N. Christina Hsu, Qiang Ji, Shaun W. Bell, Brent N. Holben, Ellsworth J. Welton, Ted L. Roush, W. Zhang, J. Huang, Zhanqing Li, H. Chen. An assessment of the surface longwave direct radiative effect of airborne dust in Zhangye, China, during the Asian Monsoon Years field experiment (2008). Journal of Geophysical Research, 2012; 117 DOI: 10.1029/2011JD017370

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/top_news/~3/SS2G-P0N-_4/121031214248.htm

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last post - Talk About Marriage

My husband forgets everything I tell him, and then he calls me a liar when I tell him I already told you several days ago.. We can have a conversation and I can remember every single detail of the conversation and he will call me a liar and say it never happened. But what bothers me the most is he can remember things that are important to him, but he cant remember a single thing that I want him to.

Yesterday was the straw the broke the camels back. I came home from work and our back door was wide open. Great we got broken into because he slept in AGAIN and was so rushed he forgot to lock the door. But no that was not it, we have a home alarm system so I look at the keypad and wonder why we were not notified. The alarm had some code on it so I look in the book and it says alarm armed and location 3 (back door) never closed. Ok so he set the alarm, opened the back door, and just walked away??? WTF!!!! So we get into a huge argument when he gets home, again he calls me a liar, that he would never do it.. Claims someone carefully broke into our house and didnt take anything, and then tried to set the alarm before leaving but couldn't make it work.. WTF AGAIN!!!!

I asked him if to prevent this from happening if he could PLEASE just use his key to lock the door each time he leaves. This set him off, he never forgets to lock the door he should not have to go out of his way to lock the door with his key. He had the never to say adding another thing to his to do list is unnecessary because we have home insurance that will cover a break in.

I just cant take being called a liar again!! I am alot smarter than him , I mean no offense by it but it bothers me to be called a liar when I am 100% sure I am not.

We are both in our late 20s, and he has the mind of a senior citizen! I am almost ready to walk out if I get called a liar one more time..

I have tried to talk to him about it and he basically calls me a liar when I say he calls me a liar all the time!!

Source: http://talkaboutmarriage.com/general-relationship-discussion/59643-forgetful-husband.html

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Tuesday, October 30, 2012

PST: Concern in Seattle over Eddie's hamstring

All eyes and ears around the rave green crowd will be focused on Eddie Johnson?s hamstring today.

The Seattle Sounders leading scorer (14 goals) came off the field in the first half last night with a strained hamstring. Team officials will have a better diagnosis and prognosis following an MRI today. (Whether they will share it with us with 100 percent transparency, who knows?)

Here?s what Johnson said about it last night via the Seattle Times:

I made a couple long runs early in the game and my hammy kind of tightened up on me. My game is (made up) of making hard runs behind the back four, and there was a play where I tried to set the defender up like I was going to come for the ball and check away, and I felt a big cramp in my hamstring.

?I know what that feeling feels like. I was smart. I came out. I didn?t try to force it, but there?s definitely something there. If I had played, I?d have been restricted. The smart thing was for me to do what?s best for the team and come out. We?ll get an MRI on Monday and see what?s going on.?

This will not be devastating news for Seattle, but it?s certainly bad news. The West field is tough. Real Salt Lake is up first, and then a date with the Galaxy in all likelihood.

Fredy Montero is playing well, so the goal-scoring cupboard is hardly bare. But no one who would replace Johnson as the Sounders most advanced striker comes close to offering what the U.S. international and MLS All-Star does, solidly-timed runs into the penalty area and the athletic ability to deliver once he accesses those areas.

There is also concern about center back Jeff Parke, who also left last night?s match, although there is more cover there.

Source: http://prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com/2012/10/29/concern-raining-down-on-seattle-over-eddie-johnsons-hamstring/related/

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GSK starts final-stage tests on severe asthma drug

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Have you skin in the game? Wave swimming in English Channel ...

There has been some discussion, questions and indeed argument arising from Trent Grimsey?s record-breaking English Channel swim, within the marathon swimming community. This centres around whether Trent swimming on or behind Gallivant?s bow wave makes it an assisted swim. Just in case you don?t know what I?m speaking about, riding a bow wave is where a swimmer of sufficient speed and ability can swim in the wave coming off the bow at the front of the boat to gain speed.

From that simple definition, it is of course an assisted swim. But is it really that simple? No. And I?m going to explain why.

Let me first say, because I was there, I almost feel like I?m cast as one of the chief defenders of bow-wave swimming, or whatever we?ll call it, though before Trent?s swim, I?d never heard nor been party to a discussion on the subject. In fact I?d never thought of nor heard the subject raised. So it?s worthwhile trying to look at this subject more deeply.

Time-constrained

People should first consider that there?s not much point getting up out the pitchforks after the fact, or without an understanding of what happened. There?s a universal rule in law and sport: You operate within the law or rule in effect NOW. For example, if you cut down your neighbour?s overhanging tree ten years ago and there was no law against it, but then a new law was brought in five years ago, you can?t be retroactively punished. The same for any sports rule. Trent operated within Channel rules.

The Pilot

Trent?s record Channel swim was an extraordinary experience to be part of, and Owen and I were lucky to be there. And as I have said before, recognising that luck, I wanted to share it with the rest of the marathon swimming world, and just as importantly, for any of you who are simply interested. So much of our sport happens by necessity with only a few direct observers that most great swims pass instantly into mythology. We are the first generation of marathon swimmers, regardless of our own ages, who can use the internet to share information and connect with other, and make our stories public and our sport better understood.

When Owen and I sat in on Trent and team?s briefing with Mike Oram, Mike?s statement that riding the bow wave as essential to reaching the record, let alone breaking it, was new to me. I?d never considered it. I checked with Owen and he?d felt the same.

Let me clear up a serious misconception here. Some people seem to think Trent showed up at Dover, the FINA Number 1, professional swimmer, ready to bend all rules and slots to his desires and surf that bow-wave and that somehow things were different for him. But that?s just not true. Trent is a respectful, calm and pleasant young man without a huge ego. He booked his slot three years ago, like any regular Channel swimmer, and had, like many, dreamed of the Channel since he was young.

And he?d never heard of nor swum a bow-wave either.

His plan was to be three to five metres (his words, on video) off the bow. As about 12 people to whom I shared the briefing video would agree, the bow wave was explained to Trent, and us ? by pilot Mike Oram.

Trent followed one of the cardinal rules of Channel swimming?he did what his pilot told him.

My first contention therefore, is that the concern is arising now, only because for the first time, many swimmers are now aware of this?possibility, and that?s precisely because of my detailed posts on Trent. You?ve seen it with your own eyes from my videos and report, and it?s making you think. People need to think. And then think more about their initial reaction. Why?

Is this an assisted swim? I am not trying to split hairs, my record on this blog and elsewhere like the forum, if that I?ll happily support anything I understand. I have no problem with other assisted swims, my problem has been where rules are deliberately flouted or where people mislead others about their intentions or the nature of their swims, or mislead people into believing they are undertaking a marathon swim, but in practice, they aren?t.

No-one should compare Trent Grimsey to people who have misled others about their swims. No-one should compare his swim to being slip-streamed behind a boat, or equate it to wearing a wetsuit or being towed in a shark-cage.

The Community

But Donal, you say, you are obfuscating. There is the letter of the rule and the spirit of the rule.

I accept that. But I still say Trent?s swim is valid and legitimate and within the spirit. Before I go further with this, the question of legitimacy of his swim has only been raised by a few marathon swimmers. As they are entitled to so do. What is important is that the swim is recognised by the validating organisation. It has been. Trent Grimsey is the English Channel record holder. If you don?t accept this, you fail to accept basic precepts of our sport, those of observation and validation.

This year has seen some behind-the-scenes discussion of asking whether it is possible to reach a rapprochement of marathon swimming rules across the various worldwide associations. The discussions haven?t really led anywhere that I?m aware of, and I don?t for now expect that to change. But they were another part of the genesis of the marathonswimmers.org forum. This means that each association generally agrees that other associations have the right to their own rules, their own wrinkles of marathon swimming, and we?ve discussed those previously ? NYCSwim?s MIMS in-water start and lightning evacuation clause and Cook Strait?s Swimming Association?s shark evacuation procedure as the two best known examples. The only real exception continues to be the CSA who refuse to recognise any CS&PF Channel swims. So like many CS&PF swimmers, I don?t take well to criticism from the CSA, though I have many friends who are CSA soloists. But the day after Trent?s swim a CSA swimmer in Dover described the CS&PF as the Dark Side, and not as a joke.

Each organisation determines its own rules (and only the CSA feels free to judge others). So as a proud (no-longer-paying) CS&PF swimmer, I don?t see how non-CS&PF or non-Channel swimmers can judge Trent. Lest this be seen as defensive, when I have commented on other swims or swimmers breaking rules, it?s where we were misled into believing which rules were being used.

Sciencey stuff

Let?s talk about waves themselves, because it feeds into answering that spirit of the rules question. This post took, as you can imagine, some time to write, as I had a day-long opportunity to write and this is the fourth revisions as I read more of the science, which was far from clear.

There are really two types of waves generated by a boat relevant to our discussion, which we?ll call bow waves and displacement waves.

A bow wave is generated by a boat and different aspects influence it:

  • Bow-shape
  • Boat speed
  • Hull/keel shape (depth and beam)
  • Weather and water conditions

A wide bow and hull will throw a bigger bow wave. A narrow hull or shallow keel throw a lesser wave. A boat throws less bow waves when going slower. A bigger bow wave will be generated in flatter water with less chop to impede it. (But choppy water can lead to random waves and spurts being thrown off the boat also, as anyone who spent time on small boats can tell you).

What do you think of a bow-wave as? Is it this doodle on the right?

That?s a reasonable assumption. And you imagine Trent body-surfing and swimming that wave. But it?s not correct.

A bow-wave from our point of view is actually more complex. On one hand there is a shock wave that disperses through the water from the forward, (bow), part of the water, dictated as I said above by speed, bow shape and width . Hulls are narrowed and elongated to reduce this shock wave. Ships don?t have square bows (except some very slow barges optimised for packing). Bow-waves slow boats down. You?ve all seen cargo ships with a torpedo-like bulbous protrusion at the front, which are actually designed to break the water in front of the bow, reduce the bow wave, and therefore increase speed and efficiency. On the other hand the entire boat displaces a volume of water behind the bow wave, which is pulled forward, the displacement wave.

Many Channel swimmers have experienced the bow wave off one of the big cargo ships. (I?ve never heard anyone complain about the effects those, except obviously the sudden swamping and disruption. Does anyone want to ask if big ships give a speed-boost to a swimmer, in light of this discussion?)

We don?t swim in the slipstream behind any boat in Channel swimming, because we can quantify it as an artificial help, regardless of boat size, speed or shape. Trent, as you can seen in the video, was swimming along the side, right outside Mike?s pilot door, about one metres out. Did he go up toward the front of the boat? Yes, mostly during the difficult fifth hour. During that fifth hour he also slipped toward the back of the boat more. Because of the difficulty in staying aligned. A difficulty that every Channel swimmer I know has experienced, as the boat adjusts speed, slips in and out of gear, and tries to match the generally low speeds of swimmers. Because Trent can swim fast enough, the boat could mostly stay in gear. For many swimmers, boats often have to do the opposite, and throw out drag-chutes, to slow them down sufficiently to stay with the swimmer without straining the engine by constant low speed.

Hulls displace water all along their length in what?s called the boundary layer?starting from?In Front Of the bow. Trent was swimming in the boundary layer (of laminar and turbulent flow) caused by the drag of the interface of the water and the hull. ?Laminar flow operates in very thin layers (millimetres) of different speeds very close to the hull (less than probably 30 centimetres maximum and is not relevant).

As long as the boat is moving steadily forward, there is that displacement flow or displacement wave. Any displacement flow Trent experienced was higher because Trent can swim faster. Because Trent can swim faster, the boat can move faster. He brought that advantage with him to the Channel because of talent and training and his own speed! Any advantage he gained was by virtue of the fact that he is already so fast.

And that?s if there was any advantage. With all this talk, I?d assumed there was some. But there might not be at all?

The whole process is non-linear and chaotic, meaning tiny changes in initial state lead to huge non-predictable changes in effect. Turbulence increases in a boundary layer to balance the equation of the water that is being forward. (The overall system must balance, where water is pulled forward water must flow back). Both flows exist congruent to each other?and in an ill-defined region. In fact, the slower the boat the further out the boundary layer of turbulent flow begins.

But more importantly as I said initially, a slower moving boat with a deeper hull, and wider beam, has proportionally greater bow and displacement waves.

The greatest ?speed is where the bow-wave flows off the maximum curvature of the hull, from the bow to the sides. The maximum area of speed is the leading edge of the wave. The trailing end of the wave is characterised by turbulent flow, some of which spirals in opposing directions.

I?d like to show two of the most compelling pieces of evidence that where Trent was swimming was far from the most beneficial, and in fact may even have been counter-productive.

A short video that illustrates the point:

Yes, dolphins. Engineered by evolution to maximise efficiency and speed versus power in water.

And another different case:

Yes, surfing. This time a longboard surfer on a small wave, so you are not confusing my point because I used a big wave.

What do they have in common that illustrates the Trent case so perfectly?

They are both IN FRONT OF THE WAVE, where the speed is, as surfers say, where the water is green. Humans as surfers think consciously about this, dolphins don?t, but have been selected to do so. ?The end result is the same.

The displacement of a boat pushes water forward in front of the bow. Speed is attained on the leading edge. As any surfer will tell you, the turbulence behind the face (front) of a wave is chaotic and the difference between being pushing forward and sitting in place is a state change line along the top of the wave. Pass that line even on a big wave, and you are not getting pushed forward.

Trent was behind the bow wave and only experiencing turbulent flow from the trailing edge. At the only times he?inadvertently?went past the forward section of bow, which happened maybe twice, and for seconds only, it was a mistake and he returned to his previous position. Most of us have?inadvertently?swum off the bow of a boat.

Our apparent ?common-sense?, the experience of pilots, and our understanding of what is happening, what we all took for granted, as with so much of science, may in fact not be correct.

Everyone decrying his advantage? Is wrong. As were we in?misunderstanding?it.

Our terminology has been wrong: We need to?differentiate?between the bow wave and the displacement wave. Trent was in the displacement wave, as the pictures and video show.

Boats

Let?s look at a picture of two Channel boats. First we have CS&PF pilot Mike Oram?s Gallivant.

Then CSA pilot Reg Brickell?s Viking Princess. Gallivant is an ex-pleasure cruiser with a shallow steel hull. I don?t know exactly what she displaces but it can?t be more than 20 tons, the general specifications and descriptions for the entire CS&PF fleet can be found here. I wrote 15 tons first but I?m adding another 25% to be extra conservative, something of which I?m not often accused. :-)

Viking Princess is a steel trawler. She is the biggest boat in the Channel swimming fleet, twice the weight at least of anything else. She is 50 tons with a concrete-weighted deep rounded hull and designed to hold lots of densely packed fish in rough seas, so she has to be bottom-heavy, deep and with a wide beam to be stable (and stable is relative term, as she is the rockiest boat I?ve ever been on). She is 5 metres broad whereas Gallivant is 3.5 metres.

Advantages

What the hell are you on about Donal?

Hang on, I?m getting there.

Given its shape, depth, beam and displacement, the English Channel fleet boat that incontrovertibly provides both the biggest bow-wave and the biggest displacement wave, regardless of conditions or swimmer or speed, is the CSA?s Viking Princess.

On two?consecutive?days, in different conditions with different swimmers, I was on both these boats. The day before Trent?s swim Owen, Jim Boucher and I crewed for Alan and we could easily see, in the prevailing Force Two Southerlies and south-westerlies, the shelter that Alan could avail of on Viking Princess?s leeward port side.

Since Alan?s swim, I?ve been incontrovertible that?Viking Princess?is the best boat in the combined Channel fleet to swim off (though not for crew).

These are different advantages provided by boats. These advantages have been provided by boats since Channel swimming started.

Alan availed of shelter during his Channel swim. So did I. With the wind hitting rising past Force Three, and reaching Force Five, I was also on the port side of Seafarer II, a small but high-sided ex-pleasure cruiser.?Wind shelter isn?t complete,?anymore?than displacement wave assistance is complete.

I?ve stood on Shakespeare and Samphire Hoe on different years and different tides, and seen different swimmers go out with different pilots, and the one thing almost all had in common in choppy conditions, ?was they all swam to the port side to avail of wind shelter from the south-westerly prevailing wind blowing on the starboard side.

One last area before I start pulling these threads together.

Amongst the defining aspects of English Channel swimming are the traffic and lack of kayak support. One is a consequence of the other.?It?s just too dangerous to put kayaks out there in such rough changeable water with high traffic. This means all swimmers must swim by the boat. Swimmers have tragically been lost in the Channel after being separated from the pilot-boat. ?Some like to swim away from the boat, some closer in. Some people changes sides regardless of wind, due to references or breathing requirements. These all add to the challenges. And the constraints.

Reductio ad absurdum

Can you eliminate the possibility of wave assistance?? Of course you can. Given the safety constraints of the English Channel, kayaks will remain out of the question, as will swimming away from the boat. The only way therefore will be to scrap the existing fleet and require that the new fleet be of a single standard hull design, designed with a team of marine engineers and hydro-dynamacists to reduce displacement flow off the port side, where we?ll have to insist all swimmers take up position.

Of course all swimmers will have to able to breathe to the right. I have no idea how to stop swimmers getting the benefit of a wind break, I look forward to your suggestions. maybe we can make them swim in front of the boat. Of course now that we know that?s actually the place where you?d actually get bow wave assistance?

Maybe some type of open-rigged catamaran, where the foils are open to the wind, and the swimmer is placed in the centre under the raised hull, and the foils are far enough apart to counter any flow? Or maybe a hull design where the maximum hull curvature would be at the stern, like a reversed teardrop, opposite to the way boats are normally designed. Of course, cat-s and tri-marans are less stable in rough water and I haven?t seen that many backwards-designed boat?

Or move Channel swimming from the current situation to similar to Gibraltar with a pilot-boat and punt where the swimmer swims off the punt. Of course, then you have safety issues again?

If it?s not the English Channel, Cook, Tsugaru, North or any other location where only pilot boats are used, then simply use kayaks or a rig as the primary swim support craft. Should the kayaker need to be evacuated because of conditions and swimmers need to move to main boat, then the swim is called off.

A simpler suggestion would be to eliminate Channel swimming in greater than Force Two winds. Either way of course, we?ll have to tear up the records and start again. Who will the first Channel Swimmer? It?ll be exciting, just like the 1870s, the whole world wondering if anyone will ever swim the Channel.

Yes, I?ve engaged in reductio ad absurdum, extrapolating a specious argument to display its ?flaws.

Conclusion

Part of the problem is our imprecise terminology, like I used in the opening paragraph, but deliberately this time, and some people leaping to condemnation. The language carries meaning that may not at all relate to the reality. ?Riding the bow wave?. I?ve said it, and not questioned it closely myself previously. I shall not be using it again, because it is incorrect. Mike Oram was incorrect, those seeking to deny Trent because of it are incorrect.

But this article has set out to do investigate those misconceptions and the evidence is very, very strong.

Every swimmer who has ever swum the English Channel, every single one, has been assisted. They may or may not have been assisted by availing of wind shelter behind the boat. But without a doubt, in the absence of kayak support: Every. Single. Swimmer. Has?been affected?by flow, aka that displacement wave, that suddenly is of concern now, its strength related to many factors including the swimmer?s speed, and the hull characteristics.

What I and they can?t identify, is to what extent if at all assisting flow exists for swimmers. If they stayed ten metres off on the windward side, even so, every time they came near the boat they entered that wave. If the day was a once-a-year, flat-calm glass sea and they stayed 20 metres off, every time they came in to feed, they entered that wave. Every regular swimmer who found themselves at some point going from stern to aft alongside the boat, was in a displacement wave. Any swimmer who swam beyond their boat, a couple of metres off, entered that wave and stayed in it for a long time.

I swam that wave, I got the wind-protection assistance. Find me a Channel swimmer who says they did not gain assistance from their pilot-boat, and I will show you someone who doesn?t understand what happened during their swim.

Any assistance is defined and accepted within the rules of English Channel swimming. It has not changed. To assert Trent did something new or somehow violated the spirit of the rules, is to misunderstand those rules, to misunderstand what Channel Swimmers do and to deny we all do the same by the same methods. And I have no choice but to ask if there is an ulterior motive in some of the questions.

The very spirit of Channel swimming is in teamwork. A swimmer, a pilot, a boat. And in the observation and?validation of those swims. Trent Grimsey swam a 100% legal swim, and was validated by the Channel Swimming & Piloting Federation and most importantly?did nothing that others haven?t done, including some of those now, unjustifiably, critical. He is the English Channel world record holder, like the swimmers before him. There is not even a hint of implication that his swim will be challenged. Because there?s nothing to base a challenge on.

If you swim Catalina or Manhattan or elsewhere where you are supported by a kayak and the traffic is lower and the conditions are not as bad, you can define your different rules.

I?m not going to run a poll on this. I?ve spent quite some time researching and writing this, including talking to a fluids physicist. A handful of people even saw the previous third draft of this article, and can therefore vouch for significant changes from that to this as the understanding evolved.

If you are a marathon swimmer you can have your own opinion and we can disagree.

But you?ll now need to prove to me that Trent or anyone else got undue assistance that every other Channel swimmer did not have. And if you are a CSA swimmer condemning Trent, you better explain how you can judge when a boat in your fleet generates the greatest displacement wave.

If you are not a marathon swimmer but have an opinion, you are, as we say in Ireland, a hurler-on-the-ditch, an expert without having much expertise. As the good people in America say, you must have some skin in the game. I?ve put my skin (literally) in there, so has Trent. And so has every English Channel swimmer.

____________________________________________________________________________________

Thanks to the people who reviewed earlier drafts of this, Owen O?Keefe, Zoe Sadler, Nick Adams?and Niek Kloots.?Thanks most especially to my friend Justin, the sailing physicist, who helped me cut through some of the dead-end research areas I was lost in (I spent a lot of unnecessary time on laminar flow!) and clarifying the issue and explanations.

_____________________________________________________________________________________

Fair winds, calm seas.

Source: http://loneswimmer.com/2012/10/29/have-you-skin-in-the-game-wave-swimming-in-english-channel-swims/

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Monday, October 29, 2012

An uneasy economy, and those living through it

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) ? Here was Chas Kaufmann's life before the Great Recession: $28,000 in restaurant tabs in a year, cruises, house parties with fireworks. His Mr. Gutter business was booming in the Pennsylvania Poconos.

Now: "We mainly shop at Sam's Club and portion out our meals. We spend $4 to $5 a night on eating." He and his wife use space heaters in their elegant house and leave parts of it cold. The Hummer is gone, and he drives a 2005 pickup. On Nov. 6, Kaufman is voting for Mitt Romney.

Lower down the ladder, the recession put Simone Ludlow's life in a full circle. Laid off by an Atlanta hotel company in 2009, Ludlow, 32, bounced from job to job for two years, got by with a "very generous mother," still makes do by renting a room in a house owned by friends, and is back working for the company that had let her go. She's voting for President Barack Obama.

For four years, the bumpy economy cut an uneasy path. It raked small towns and big cities, knocked liberals and conservatives on their backs, plagued Republicans and Democrats alike.

It was the worst economic setback since the Depression, and it didn't take sides.

___

Across the country, Associated Press reporters asked people to talk about their livelihoods before and after the December 2007-June 2009 recession and how those experiences have shaped their politics in the presidential election just days away. Their answers help illuminate why the race is so close. In this time of great polarization, their stories bridge the partisan divide, showing that resilience and optimism are shared traits, too, and that no one seems to think either candidate can work miracles.

"Our potential doesn't rely on an election and one man or even a ballot," said Ben McCoy, 35, of Wilmington, N.C., creative director for 101 Mobility, a company that sells, installs and services handicapped access equipment. "I don't think either candidate for president has the conviction to go as far as we need to go to really get back to stability."

Economic well-being, for him, will come from personal decisions by his wife and himself, not Washington. "We will roll up our sleeves and cut the family budget down to the core if we have to, where we know we're going to eat and we know the lights are going to stay on, and that's it. We'll do it. We won't laugh and dance about it, but we'll do it."

In the Charlotte area, the recession played a cruel trick on Obama supporter Tamala Harris, wrecking the Charlotte housing market just after she quit a job to go into selling real estate. It drove Romney supporter Ray Arvin out of business selling industrial equipment from North Carolina and cleaned out his retirement savings with not that many years left to start from scratch. Both have more hope than you might think.

Harris, 38, is back in Charlotte after getting her master's in business from the University of Rochester in New York. During the worst of the calamity, she used loans and scholarships to advance her education, and looks back on it all as a time that made her dig deep.

"It made me realize what was important," she said. "It's just not the material things and having things to improve your status. I know that people are in such a rush to have things. They feel that is a validation ? 'Oh I have this, I have that.' I was one of them. So, for me, I found it was a time to reflect on your character ? and rebuild again. It was a wonderful time to realize when you don't have certain things ? money is not coming, or houses are not selling ? who's really in your corner. "

Arvin, 47, is starting over, too.

In 2001, he and his wife bought a small company that sold equipment to power utilities and the aviation industry. Business hummed until 2007, when five big customers filed for bankruptcy and the couple raided their retirement and savings accounts to keep the enterprise afloat. It sank in 2009. Now he travels five states in a 2005 Suburban as sales representative for a business supplying equipment to electric and gas companies, bringing home $50,000 to $60,000 after taxes and travel expenses.

"Am I doing better? Yes. But I've lost so much. I'm starting new. I'm confident in my ability to work hard and do well with what I do."

___

Polls consistently find that the economy is the top concern of voters, and Romney tends to get an edge over Obama when people are asked who might do better with it. Whether that truly drives how Americans vote is a crucial question for Election Day.

Other factors often came into play with the people who talked to AP. Republicans didn't buy the Romney campaign's portrayal of Obama as a one-man wrecking crew in economic affairs. Democrats didn't see him as a savior. They all realize life is more complicated than that.

Beth Ashby, 38, an artist and freelance photographer in North Hollywood, Calif., is a registered Democrat who thinks Obama is bad for her savings. If he's re-elected, she said, "I think I'm going to be less likely to set money aside in my investments. I might be safer just storing it in the shoe box under the bed."

Romney, she said, "seems to have a head for business." But he's turned her off on environmental issues, abortion and "some of his comments involving women." Obama or a third-party unknown will get her vote.

Dave Hinnaland, 51, a fourth-generation sheep and cattle rancher who co-owns the family's 17,000 working acres outside Circle, Mont., simply seems hard-wired to vote for a Republican president. As the national economy sank, the local economy shot ahead thanks to booming oil production in the Bakken oil fields to the east. The days of $300-a-month house rentals, when people's pickups were more expensive than their homes, are over.

"When this area was settled 100 or more years ago, there were people who took a chance and moved out here," he said. "They worked hard and were able to build something for themselves and their families."

So his message to all in Washington: "Let us have the means and options to chart our own path. Don't hamstring us with rules and regulations. And let people that are willing to go out to work take a chance, let them have the opportunity to do it. We don't need a big hand hovering over our head telling us what we can and cannot do."

If the recession spared oil and gas lands, Kaufmann, of Kunkletown, Pa., saw it coming in the gutter trade, specifically when he started noticing that nearly all of his customers' checks were drawn on home equity credit lines.

"How long do you think this is going to last?" he recalled asking his wife. "I said, 'I just did a homeowner, the wife lost her job, and without her job, he can't afford the mortgage.' That's when we started buckling down. I said, 'You know what? It's time.'

"What happened is, the banks overextended all these people. People were buying clothes, putting in in-ground pools, putting gutters up where they didn't need to be replaced. I was putting gutters up when people didn't need gutters. I would tell them. But they wanted to change the colors. You ride by those houses now and they either have three feet of grass or the windows are boarded up."

His gross income has been halved since 2006 and 2007. No cruises since he turned 60 five years ago.

Cruises aren't on the horizon for Cristian Eusebio, 20, either. He makes $10.50 an hour as a bank teller in Springdale, Ark. He lives at home with a father who works at a food-packaging plant that's been cutting staff and a mother who found work at a warehouse store. The family refinanced before their home mortgage ballooned, skipped a vacation to pay down a debt and pinched pennies.

"It could have gotten worse, but it got better because my mom got a job, my sister got a job and then later in high school, I got a job," he said. "It has gotten better, but I think it's just because more of us are working. Some of us pay one bill. The other one pays another."

___

In Atlanta, where she serves as event manager for her hotel, Ludlow puts no faith in Romney's ability to make the economy sound and offers less than ringing praise for the candidate she supports. "He may not personally be the smartest guy about the economy," she says of Obama, "but what I do appreciate is the fact that he knows when to listen to smarter people."

Her economic worries transcend politics of the moment. She ticks them off: "The long shift that we've had with the globalizing world, going from a manufacturing to a service economy. From a service economy to just a consumer economy, period, that buys more than it produces. And everybody having a job that can be done by a human being, but it's just more cost-effective to do it with a computer.

"All of those factors float around my head and keep me up some nights," she said. "The economy is (in) an incredible state of transition that we've never seen before. And nobody has any idea what it's going to look like. When the smoke clears, what are we going to be living in? And nobody seems to have an answer to that. Nobody knows. All you can do is put on a couple of Band-Aids here and try something there, and see what happens. And that makes me nervous."

If the recession played no favorites among the rich, the poor and those in between, the recovery did. Lost jobs and homes may not have come back but the stock market did, favoring those whose wealth resided in investments.

Carol Clemens, a 66-year-old retiree from Edmond, Okla., and member of the local chapter of an investing club, put money into Ford shares near the bottom of the market in 2009, sold some and has seen the value of the rest grow fivefold. That eased her rough patch. "In short, we're not better off than we were in 2007, but neither are we destitute, for which we give thanks," she said. She's leaning toward Romney.

But investments and politics ebb and flow. Of more concern is the nation's future. She's the mother of grown children who "are not as conscious of saving as we were at their ages," and of grandchildren who are entering higher education. She laments class divisions played up in the campaign ? the stigmatization of the poor, the dissing of the rich ? and thinks the country needs a deeper fix than any one leader can achieve.

"Americans have got to start taking full responsibility for our messes," she said. "We vote in ineffective politicians, we tolerate second-rate educational systems, we envy those who have worked to have more and resent those who burden our social services because they have great needs.

"I would hope that the next president would have the guts to call us on our blindness and narrow visions," Clemens said. "We have to regain our ability to stop, consider and give a damn if we are going to change things."

___

Woodward reported from Washington. Associated Press writers Michael Rubinkam, Dave Carpenter in Chicago, Matt Sedensky in West Palm Beach, Fla., Michael Sandler in Richmond, Va., Tom Krisher and Dee-Ann Durbin in Detroit, Alex Veiga in Los Angeles, Matthew Brown in Billings, Mont., Jeannie Nuss in Little Rock, Ark., and Mark Jewell in Boston contributed to this report.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/uneasy-economy-those-living-115534234--election.html

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Bedard: Peyton vs. Brees, it will be fireworks

Broncos, Saints QBs are on a tear heading into Sunday night matchup (8 p.m. ET on NBC)

By Greg Bedard

NBCSports.com contributor

updated 10:56 a.m. ET Oct. 28, 2012

Greg Bedard

It?s not everyday you get to see two of the league?s best quarterbacks go head to head against subpar pass defenses.

We should get to see that on Sunday night because Drew Brees of the Saints and the Broncos? Peyton Manning are starting to get on rolls, and each opposing defense has had its share of struggles.

Brees, after a shaky start, has completed 67 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns against two interceptions in the past three games, as the Saints lost by a point at the Packers, and won back-to-back games to get to 2-4 on the season.

Manning has been even better, competing 75.9 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns against one interception. Manning?s also coming off a bye week, where he should be licking his chops to take on a Saints defense this is 29th in points allowed (30.3 points), 30th in passing yards (304.5 yards), and last in total yards (465.5 yards).

The Broncos? defense has been much better statistically, but in recent weeks it was ripped apart by the Texans (436 total yards) and the Patriots (444), and falling behind the Chargers 24-0 at halftime before the Broncos rallied for 35 second-half points. So Brees and the re-charged Saints should be ready.

And everyone else should be ready for a scoring explosion.

Here are the three keys for each team:

SAINTS
Block Von Miller:
Elvis Dumervil, who plays a majority on the right side of the Broncos? defensive line, has been average this season, and only started to feast against the Chargers when left tackle Michael Harris played hurt. Saints left tackle Jermon Bushrod is an upper echelon player and should be able to handle Dumervil for the most part.

Outside linebacker Von Miller on the other side, however, has been a dominating force with six sacks, and he might be even better against the run. Saints right tackle Zach Strief is going to have to hold his own against Miller. And the Saints are going to need a plan for the multiple scheme of defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio. He?ll stand up a bunch of guys in the front seven, move them around, and hope to confuse the quarterback and line.

If the Saints don?t get things blocking up properly, it?s going to be a long game. The Saints might want to think about a hurry-up offense, which the Patriots used to their advantage against the Broncos.

Find a way to get pressure: The Saint are bad on defense because, unlike the unrelenting line he had with the Giants, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo isn?t getting the type of consistent pressure that makes his zone coverages work.

The Saints absolutely must find a way to get Manning off his spot in the pocket ? with blitzes or zone exchanges (where an end is replaced by another defender in the four-man rush) or he?ll pick apart the Saints? secondary throwing to solid targets like Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Stokely, Eric Decker and Jacob Tamme.

The Saints should forget about even putting a good rusher over Broncos left tackle Ryan Clady. He?s back to playing at an All-Pro level and he?s virtually been impenetrable.

Take your shots: Despite changing out cornerback Andre Goodman and safety Brian Dawkins for Tracy Porter and Mike Adams, respectively, the Broncos? secondary is still porous outside of cornerback Champ Bailey.

Porter, Adams, nickel back Chris Harris and free safety Rahim Moore can all be taken advantage of. The best way to do it is for the Saints to actually try to run the ball between the tackles ? Kevin Vickerson and Justin Bannan are average ? and then to use the play-action game that Brees is so good at when given the opportunity, especially to tight end Jimmy Graham.

Also keep an eye out on the slot matchup between Saints receiver Lance Moore, and Harris. Moore has terrific quickness, and Brees has been looking for him more of late. Harris will have a hard time defending that speed.

BRONCOS
Run the ball:
As bad as the Saints are against the pass, they?re also 31st in rushing yards per game (161 yards). It will be very tempting for offensive coordinator Mike McCoy and Manning to go full throttle with the pass, but the Broncos need to maintain an effective balance, primarily to keep the ball out of Brees? hands as much as possible.

The Saints are much more explosive than the Broncos. Willis McGahee (4.3 yards per carry) should be rested after the bye and ready for a full workload. Rookie change-of-pace back Ronnie Hillman has very good speed once he gets going. If the Saints have to worry about stopping the run, they?re going to have a tough time covering in the back.

Look for Stokely: The Broncos are lacking a bit in the slot ? they have some solid guys but not much explosiveness ? but veteran receiver Brandon Stokely has a long history with Manning back to the Colts, and has started to be impactful of late. Stokely won?t wow anybody, but his veteran savvy should be an asset against rookie cornerback Corey White, who has struggled a lot this year.

If the Saints try to blitz, watch for Manning to look for Stokely on some hot routes that can turn into bad matchups for the defense.

Don?t be too aggressive on defense: Del Rio has gotten away with blitz-heavy schemes against some lesser quarterbacks, like Carson Palmer, but if Del Rio gets too aggressive against Brees, he?s one of the best at making defenses pay.

The Broncos are going to need to get pressure with just four rushers to be effective against Brees. Miller should make his presence known, but if Dumervil can win a few battles against Bushrod on third downs, that will allow Del Rio to keep more in coverage and to frustrate Brees.

? 2012 NBC Sports.com? Reprints

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More news
Giants top Cowboys by a fingertip

The New York Giants escaped with a 29-24 victory over the Cowboys in Dallas by the grace of a reversal of a Dallas touchdown when replay showed the Cowboys' Dez Bryant had come down with a pass in the end zone with his fingers out of bounds.

Watch live online: Saints vs. Broncos

Watch NBC's presentation of New Orleans-Denver in an HD player with DVR style controls, alternate angles, stats, highlights and more. Chat with others during the game.

Source: http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/49579403/ns/sports-nfl/

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Greatest Means To Stay Organized In Your Residence Business ...

The individuals who have paid to join your membership site rely on you to provide relevant and timely information. It?s their right to expect that information to be up to date regularly as a result of they could be relying upon it to make decisions. When an individual joins your membership web site they should be told what your publishing schedule might be in order that they know after they can expect to get fresh information. Adhering to that announced schedule is vitally important.

Deciding what your publishing schedule can be for your website is important. Take note the kind of information you can be supplying to your membership. Info that modifications hourly would require a RSS feed. Info that should up-dated each day will more than likely require a content administration system. For weekly publishing of content, you can do that your self however a content material management system could make it lots easier.

When you are planning your e-newsletter, it is advisable to determine how usually your ezine or publication will probably be despatched out to your subscribers. Basically, it is advisable to create a schedule and keep on with it. But how often must you publish? How much is too much and the way often is just not enough? In relation to frequency, the same old decisions are day by day, weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly.

Day by day ? which means 365 newsletters a year. You possibly can wear out your welcome even along with your most devoted members.

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Regardless of the theme of your membership website is, it ought to all the time be your important focus. Every bit of written content material, audio content material or video content must be about the primary theme of your membership website. Little side journeys into very carefully related fields is alright however even very carefully related subjects ought to by no means detract from the primary focus of your site.

If you selected the theme for your membership website, you selected it because it was one thing that you simply knew rather a lot about and/or were (and hopefully nonetheless are) passionate about.

I noticed an indication in a convenience retailer not long ago that mentioned something like..we strive to always be sort, thoughtful and helpful. However, it is exhausting to keep in mind that the principle goal is to drain the swamp when you?re up to your ears (cleaned up) in alligators. That is true for house owners of membership websites. It actually is tough to stay centered in your targets when you have so many issues to distract you from doing what it?s worthwhile to do to keep your website centered on the principle theme.

No matter what number of distractions you have, you need to still preserve new, recent, relevant and timely content material on your website that pertains to the theme of your site.

Your ezines and newsletters should be filled with helpful and useful information. Be sure to frequently test for new products that may be helpful to your membership. New merchandise come out daily and also you don?t want to fall behind.

You might want to make full use of your autoresponder to keep your members informed and to maintain them focused on the objective, as well.

Your weblog, forum or message board subjects can develop into unfocused and off-matter very easily. They should be monitored daily.maybe even a number of occasions every day.

For more suggestions and advice: http://www.warriorforum.com/articles/698401-most-succesful-home-based-business-opportunities-join.html

Source: http://answers.beatthebrochure.com/greatest-means-to-stay-organized-in-your-residence-business-growth/52281

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Sunday, October 28, 2012

Obama, Romney, 'We're Not Illegal,' Says Undocumented Immigrant

Pulitzer Prize-winner Jose Antonio Vargas tells MTV News he wants to see the candidates do the immigration issue justice.
By Kimberly Reynolds


Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama
Photo: Getty Images

Source: http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1696364/barack-obama-mitt-romney-immigration.jhtml

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Passports get security makeover

Canada's pass-ports are being updated to include chip technology and watermark images designed to prevent fraud, but are also going to cost a lot more.

The new passports will have computer chips embedded - technology that's already used in almost 100 other countries, Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird said Friday.

Each blank page of the document will also contain watermarks depicting iconic images from Canadian history.

"Canada's new passport is not just a ticket to new places, new cultures and new experiences," Baird said. "It tells the world who we are: a nation built on freedom, democracy, human rights and the rule of law."

The new passports will be renewable for either five-or 10-year periods, but they'll come with a price: $120 for five years, up from the current $87, and $160 for the 10-year option. Passports for children will be $57, an increase of $20.

For those applying outside Canada, the fee skyrockets to $190 for a five-year passport - up from $97 - and $260 for the document that would expire in a decade.

By comparison, it currently costs $135 to apply for a new American passport, $25 less for a renewal. An adult passport in the United Kingdom costs the equivalent of about $117.

The 16 watermark images include sports scenes - obligatory illustrations of the Grey Cup and Stanley Cup - and landmarks such as old Quebec City, the Prairies and Parliament's Centre Block.

The changes are designed to deter counterfeiters and make the passport more secure, said Baird. "It will help us ensure that the Canadian passport remains a secure document that can help facilitate trade and travel."

The new documents will begin rolling out in unspecified "select locations" in the first three months of 2013, with wide availability expected by mid-July.

Canada is late to the game when it comes to chip-enhanced passports. Another 95 countries, including the United States, France and the United Kingdom, already issue so-called ePassports. Canada is the last G7 country to adopt them.

Passport Canada partly blamed the delay on the United States' Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative, which it said stretched its resources at a time when other countries were implementing ePassports.

That initiative forced Canadians to get a passport to enter the U.S., starting with air arrivals in 2007 and expanding to all arrivals in 2009.

There were also disagreements at the highest levels of government over which technology to use and how long a passport would be valid.

As late as 2007, the federal government had ruled out extending passport validity to 10 years, with then-foreign affairs minister Peter MacKay insisting that other countries were shortening expiration times rather than increasing them.

The chip embedded in the back cover of the passport makes the document more tamper-proof. It stores all of the identifying information found on the second page of the passport, minus the signature.

The new features aren't foolproof, said Baird, but they should cut down on the number of fakes produced every year. "Nothing is ever impossible, but I think what we've done is raise the bar, not just with the chip in the passport but also the security features on every page. It makes it demonstrably more difficult to commit fraud."

Source: http://www.timescolonist.com/Passports+security+makeover/7457828/story.html

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Sandy: East Coast braces for epic hurricane, ?life-threatening? storm surge

Waves crash into a pier in Nags Head, N.C., Oct. 27, 2012. (Gerry Broome/AP)

"Superstorm." "The Perfect Storm." "Frankenstorm."

Whatever you want to call it, the East Coast is bracing for Hurricane Sandy, a "rare hybrid storm" that is expected to bring a life-threatening storm surge to the mid-Atlantic coast, Long Island Sound and New York harbor, forecasters say, with winds expected to be at or near hurricane force when it makes landfall sometime on Monday.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the Category 1 hurricane was centered about 260 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C., and 395 miles south of New York City early Sunday, carrying maximum sustained winds of 75 mph and moving northeast at 10 mph.

New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg ordered the immediate, mandatory evacuation for low-lying coastal areas, including Coney Island, the Rockaways, Brighton Beach, Red Hook and some parts of lower Manhattan.

"If you don't evacuate, you're not just putting your own life at risk," Mayor Bloomberg said at a news conference Sunday. "You're endangering first responders who may have to rescue you."

Earlier, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced the suspension of all MTA service--including subways, buses, Long Island Railroad and Metro North--beginning at 7 p.m. Sunday. New York City Public Schools will be closed on Monday, the mayor said.

[Related: Superstorm could impact 60 million]

Sandy is expected to continue on a parallel path along the mid-Atlantic coast later Sunday before making a sharp turn toward the northwest on Monday--with the Jersey Shore and New York City in its projected path.

But the path is not necessarily the problem.

"Don't get fixated on a particular track," the Associated Press said. "Wherever it hits, the rare behemoth storm inexorably gathering in the eastern U.S. will afflict a third of the country with sheets of rain, high winds and heavy snow."

(Weather.com)

A tropical storm warning has been issued between Cape Fear to Duck, N.C., while hurricane watches and high-wind warnings are in effect from the Carolinas to New England. The hurricane-force winds extend 175 miles from the epicenter of the storm, while tropical storm-force winds extend 520 miles--making Sandy one of the biggest storms to ever hit the East Coast.

"We're looking at impact of greater than 50 to 60 million people," Louis Uccellini, head of environmental prediction for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, told the Associated Press.

"The size of this alone, affecting a heavily populated area, is going to be history making," Jeff Masters wrote on the Weather Underground blog.

[Also read: Big storm scrambles presidential race schedules]

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie declared a state of emergency, ordering a shutdown of the state's casinos.

"I can be as cynical as anyone," Christie said on Saturday. "But when the storm comes, if it's as bad as they're predicting, you're going to wish you weren't as cynical as you otherwise might have been."

Similar emergency evacuations were being mulled by state officials in Connecticut, Massachusetts, Vermont, New Hampshire and even Maine.

"This is not a coastal threat alone," said Craig Fugate, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said during a media briefing early Sunday. "This is a very large area."

Forecasters also fear the combination of storm surge, high tide and heavy rain--between 3 and 12 inches in some areas--could be life-threatening for coastal residents.

According to the National Hurricane Center summary, coastal water levels could rise anywhere between 1 and 12 feet from North Carolina to Cape Cod, depending on the timing of the "peak surge." A surge of 6 to 11 feet is forecast for Long Island Sound and Raritan Bay, including New York Harbor.

The storm surge in New York Harbor during Hurricane Irene, forecasters noted, was four feet.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/sandy-hurricane-east-coast-nyc-forecast-142549538.html

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Saturday, October 27, 2012

Senator Reid treated for minor injuries in car crash

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Innovation in the Midwest ? A Self-Improvement Guide - teaomvig's ...

Member Insights by Cathleen Hare, Plante Moran Partner, Columbus Office

Finding ways to sustain and grow a business is a challenge at the best of times, and it becomes even more challenging during difficult economic times such as the recent downturn. To push an organization beyond a survivor?s mindset to one that promotes growth and change requires innovation. Most importantly, organizations that innovate successfully can reap significant benefits. That?s according to a survey of public and private sector companies in the Midwest including a number of members from our Chamber.

The findings can be found in Plante Moran?s second annual Innovation Quotient (IQ) survey that, with the help of business educators of NewNorth Center, assessed more than 500 innovators from business, non-profit, health care and public sector organizations.

The survey identifies four tiers of innovators ? accidental innovators, disciplined innovators, top innovators and superstar innovators ? and demonstrates how organizations that move up the innovation ladder can improve their financial results. The innovation superstars have innovation in their DNA:? Their organizations look beyond the next horizon and make a deliberate choice to build and nurture innovation.

On average, survey respondents said they generated 16 percent of their revenue from new products or services introduced in the last three years. However the elite tier of superstar innovators was shown to adopt deliberate innovation practices that included budgeting for innovation to meet strat?egy goals and publicly rewarding ideas that emerge. This select group innovates in all methods and was rewarded by products/services introduced in the last three years that accounted for 23.3 percent of their revenue.

Those who achieve superstar status have innovation-hungry cultures we can all learn from, but a strategy is needed that includes the following tactics:

  • Establish clear and measurable expectations
  • Monitor progress on those expectations
  • Alter the plan when necessary
  • Abandon when not generating results

Innovation is a long-term investment and it takes leadership from the top down. A participant from the health care industry put it best when he said ? ?With or without legislation, we should continue to look for innovations and efficiencies in health care because it is the right thing to do.?

To see the complete survey results, click here. Thank you to those members who participated in the survey this year, and we look forward to continuing the innovation conversation with all of you next year.

Source: http://blog.columbus.org/chamber/2012/10/innovation-in-the-midwest-a-self-improvement-guide.html

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Source: http://teaomvig.posterous.com/innovation-in-the-midwest-a-self-improvement

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Friend us on Facebook and bundle up your iPhone with a free case from iMore!

Win free stuff on iMore! Yay!

Here's the deal -- you follow iMore on your favorite social networks, and we give you awesome accessory prizes... EVERY MONTH!

We know our loyal readers already visit iMore.com daily, subscribe to our RSS feeds and get the iMore Podcast on iTunes, but we wanted to do something a little extra to reward our loyal fans and grow our audience in some of the off-iMore social networking and content sharing sites that iPhone owners hang out and visit.

It's easy! All you have to do is follow iMore on Youtube, Twitter, Google+ and Facebook and as a thank you for doing so we're going to pick a lucky winner each month from among our iMore followers / subscribers / fans on each of these sites to win some great iPhone prizes! That's four winners each month - one picked at random from each site. All you need to do is click the links below to follow us on each site, and just keep following us! We'll pick our four winners on the last day of each month and announce them around the first day of the new month along with the prizes to be won for the new month. You can subscribe to all of Youtube, Twitter, Google+ and Facebook to maximize your chances of winning.

This month we're going to help you protect your iPhone 5 with new cases and gift certificates to the iMore store! See the list below for links to the sites and the prize you could win on each one.

We'll send out a reminder each week with ways to earn extra entries, so make sure to watch the blogs! Thanks for following, spread the word and good luck!!

Facebook bonus entry!

Looking to win a bonus entry on Facebook for an extra shot at that Incipio EDGE PRO Hard Shell Slider Case for iPhone 5 and a $50 iMore store gift certificate? It's your lucky week! After you 'like' iMore, just leave a comment on this post on facebook and you've got yourself a second entry! See, we told you it'd be easy.

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Follow iMore and Win Contest FAQ/Details

Eligibility - Open worldwide. In order to participate as a follower /subscriber / fan of the iMore accounts in this contest you must have an account with Youtube, Twitter, Google+ and Facebook. We'd love you to follow on us in all four locations (that maximizes your chances of winning) but it's not required. One, two or all four is fine. If you're already following us when this contest starts, don't worry, you're entered automatically!! You must also be a registered member of iMore to be eligible.

Announcing Winners - Winners will be chosen randomly each month. Winning usernames will be posted to the iMore blogs within the first few days of each new month. Winners will be contacted via the respective sites (Twitter, Facebook, Google+, Youtube) and once initially contacted the follow-up will be conducted via email to work out details (address for shipping, etc.) on getting the prize. There is no rule against being able to win more than once.

There you have it! Be sure to tune into the blogs around the first day of each month for the winners' announcement and to see what can be won next month. If you have any questions, you can email me at michelle @ iMore.com - be sure to make the subject Follow iMore and Win Contest!



Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheIphoneBlog/~3/XKI3k7P7znE/story01.htm

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